Stocks

Tesla Shares Drop After Price Target Cut

Published March 18, 2025

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) saw its shares decline nearly 5% on Monday after Mizuho analysts lowered their price target for the company from $515 to $430. This reduction raised questions about the market's reaction, especially from economist Peter Schiff, who noted that the new price target is still 80% higher than the stock's closing price of around $238.

Key Developments: The main reason behind Mizuho's adjustment is largely attributed to signs of weak demand. They reduced their delivery forecasts to 1.8 million vehicles this year, down from an earlier prediction of 2.3 million, and lowered the projection for 2026 from 2.9 million to 2.3 million. The analysts pointed out that Tesla has underperformed in major markets, including the U.S., China, and Europe, in the previous month.

Schiff, expressing his confusion, tweeted, "But why is this even bad news if the lowered price target is still 80% higher than today's closing price?" This reflects a sentiment of disbelief among some investors regarding the reaction to such news.

Mizuho also identified that Tesla's challenges stem from factors including a deterioration in geopolitical conditions and a shift in brand perception. The involvement of Tesla CEO Elon Musk with the Trump administration has sparked protests and incidents of vandalism directed at Tesla vehicles and showrooms across the country.

Investor Sentiment: Recent commentary from Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives highlights the growing frustration among Tesla investors. Ives mentioned that investors are losing patience as Musk has not been visibly present at any Tesla facilities in recent months, which some believe reflects a lack of leadership during crucial times.

In a similar vein, long-time Tesla investor Ross Gerber shared a video of protesters outside a Tesla store, which concluded with his child expressing relief that they do not own a Tesla. This further underscores the shifting sentiment around the brand.

Stock Performance: Since reaching a high of $479.86 in December, Tesla shares have experienced a significant decline, losing about half of their value. According to a consensus of 30 analysts, the average price target for Tesla now stands at $318.22. These estimates range widely, from $550 to $24.86, indicating varying opinions on the company's future prospects.

Despite the recent challenges, some analysts remain optimistic. The latest valuations from firms including Canaccord Genuity, Mizuho, and Wells Fargo average at $321.33, suggesting a potential 36.1% upside for Tesla shares.

Conclusion

The future of Tesla appears uncertain as the company faces challenges related to demand and public perception. The recent price target cut by Mizuho reflects broader concerns about the company's performance, yet the market reaction has led to differing opinions on whether the news is truly negative given the still-positive projections.

Tesla, stocks, investors