Earnings

Q1 Earnings Estimate Revision for TKO Group by Seaport Res Ptn

Published March 9, 2025

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) has received a revision in earnings estimates for the first quarter of 2025 from Seaport Res Ptn, as noted in a research report released on March 4th. The analyst D. Joyce from Seaport Res Ptn has adjusted the forecast, predicting that TKO Group will earn $0.44 per share during this quarter. This figure is a decrease from their earlier projection of $0.90 per share.

Despite the lowered earnings estimate, Seaport Res Ptn maintains a "Strong-Buy" rating on TKO Group's stock. Additionally, the company’s overall full-year earnings consensus estimate currently stands at $3.88 per share.

Seaport Res Ptn has further provided earnings estimates for TKO Group for the upcoming quarters: it expects $0.91 earnings per share for Q2 2025, $0.53 for Q3 2025, $0.35 for Q4 2025, and an annual earnings prediction of $2.20 for FY2025. Looking towards 2026, they estimate Q1 earnings of $0.87, followed by $1.15 for Q2, $1.04 for Q3, $0.47 for Q4, and total earnings of $3.51 for FY2026.

Other Analysts on TKO Group

In addition to Seaport Res Ptn's updated estimates, several other brokerage firms have provided their opinions on TKO Group. Morgan Stanley raised its target price for the stock from $128.00 to $160.00, assigning it an "equal weight" rating. Similarly, Citigroup increased its target price from $137.00 to $170.00 while maintaining a "buy" rating. Benchmark reiterated a "hold" recommendation on TKO Group’s shares.

Furthermore, Guggenheim has raised its price target from $170.00 to $175.00, continuing its "buy" recommendation. JPMorgan Chase & Co. also improved its target price from $137.00 to $158.00, categorizing the stock as "overweight." As of now, two research analysts have rated TKO Group as a hold, eleven have rated it as a buy, and one has awarded it a strong buy rating. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock sports a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with an average price target of $157.00.

TKO Group Stock Overview

As of the opening on Friday, TKO Group's stock was priced at $143.39. The company’s stock has seen a low of $79.32 and a high of $179.09 over the past twelve months. Presently, TKO Group has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34, alongside a current ratio of 1.17 and a quick ratio also at 1.17. The market capitalization for TKO Group stands at $24.49 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of -341.40 and a beta of 1.08. Its fifty-day moving average price is $153.64, and its 200-day moving average price is $136.25.

Institutional Investors in TKO Group

Several hedge funds and institutional investors have recently adjusted their stakes in TKO Group. Vanguard Group Inc. increased its holdings by 1.7% in the last quarter, owning 6,681,087 shares valued at approximately $949.45 million after acquiring 114,096 additional shares. Ninety One UK Ltd raised its holdings by 4.1%, bringing its total to 4,151,608 shares valued at about $589.99 million. Independent Franchise Partners LLP grew its position by 7.4%, owning 3,409,140 shares worth approximately $484.47 million.

State Street Corp also boosted its position by 10.4% in the third quarter, holding 2,052,916 shares valued at roughly $253.97 million after acquiring an extra 192,602 shares. Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA increased its stake by 2.8% in the fourth quarter, owning 1,752,496 shares valued at about $249.05 million. Institutional investors collectively hold around 89.79% of TKO Group’s stock.

Insider Activity at TKO Group

Recent insider transactions include a sale by CAO Shane Kapral, who sold 1,034 shares on January 3rd at an average price of $141.94, totaling $146,765.96. This reduced his personal ownership to 2,225 shares valued at approximately $315,816.50. Conversely, major shareholder Patrick Whitesell purchased 31,352 shares on December 11th at an average price of $142.03 per share, resulting in a total transaction of $4,452,924.56 and increasing his holding to 1,674,322 shares valued at about $237.80 million. Over the past three months, insiders have bought 2,498,297 shares totaling $387.67 million while selling 71,457 shares worth $10.15 million. Insiders own around 53.80% of TKO Group’s stock.

TKO Group Dividend Announcement

Recently, TKO Group declared a quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share, to be paid on March 31st. The record date for investors is March 14th, and this amounts to an annualized dividend of $1.52, providing a yield of 1.06%. The ex-dividend date is also March 14th, and TKO Group’s payout ratio stands at an astonishing 7,600.00%.

About TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates in the sports and entertainment sector. The company is involved in producing and licensing various live events, television programs, and both long-form and short-form content, including reality series and other filmed entertainment available through multiple digital and linear channels as well as pay-per-view. TKO Group also engages in merchandising video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys, in addition to selling travel packages and tickets.

Earnings, Stocks, Investment