Analysis

AMD Stock Declines After Latest Earnings Report: An Overview

Published November 1, 2024

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) has experienced a significant drop in its stock value, trading down by 14% to $142.44 since opening on Wednesday. This sudden decline follows the company's announcement of its third-quarter financial results.

Financial Performance Highlights: AMD reported revenues of $6.8 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $6.71 billion. The company's earnings per share matched projections at 92 cents.

One of the standout areas for AMD was its data center segment, which saw remarkable growth with a 122% increase, amounting to $3.5 billion in revenue. The client segment also performed well, posting a 29% revenue rise to $1.9 billion.

Conversely, AMD's gaming revenue encountered a significant downturn, plummeting by 69% to $462 million. Additionally, embedded revenue decreased by 25% to $927 million, although there was an 8% increase sequentially from the previous quarter.

CEO Lisa Su credited AMD's robust results to the strong demand for its EPYC and Instinct data center products along with Ryzen processors targetting the PC market. She expressed optimism about future growth opportunities across the data center, client, and embedded sectors, driven by the increasing need for computing power.

Looking forward, AMD is forecasting fourth-quarter revenues of $7.5 billion, which would indicate a 22% year-over-year rise at the midpoint. Moreover, adjusted gross margins for the upcoming quarter are expected to remain steady at 54%.

Analysts Weigh In: Analysts have reacted positively to AMD's expansion in artificial intelligence (AI) and data center solutions, suggesting that the company could increasingly compete with its major rival, NVIDIA, in the AI space. John Vinh from KeyBanc highlighted the anticipated impact of AMD's MI300 chip, which is projected to yield $5 billion in revenue by 2024. He believes this chip will enhance customer adoption across cloud and AI applications, despite AMD's conservative guidance for the fourth quarter.

C.J. Muse from Cantor Fitzgerald noted that AMD's achievements with the MI300 may lead to up to $12 billion in revenue, potentially supporting significant earnings growth by 2025 or 2026, even as he expects the shares to be traded within a limited range in the near term.

Other analysts provided varying opinions. Rick Schafer of Oppenheimer praised AMD's swift development of a competitive AI platform, predicting it could surpass $5 billion in annual revenue, although he cautioned that investor expectations might be too high. Meanwhile, Harsh Kumar from Piper Sandler recognized AMD’s strong GPU execution but expressed concerns over challenging guidance, noting that while the GPU and server segments look promising, the gaming and embedded segments present risks.

This week has showcased the mixed reactions from the market regarding AMD's overall performance and future outlook. Investors and analysts alike will be closely watching how AMD navigates these challenges and capitalizes on emerging opportunities in the AI and data center domains.

AMD, Earnings, Stocks