Stocks

Comparing IonQ and Nvidia: Which AI Stock is Better?

Published March 4, 2025

IonQ (NYSE: IONQ) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) are two prominent players in the world of artificial intelligence (AI) that have captured the interest of investors. Over the past year, Nvidia, a semiconductor company, has seen its stock price rise by 53% as demand for its processors has skyrocketed in response to increasing needs for AI technology. In contrast, IonQ, which specializes in quantum computing, has experienced an impressive stock price surge of about 125%. Investors are excited about IonQ’s potential to enhance AI capabilities with its innovative technology.

An analysis by PwC estimates that the value of AI could reach around $15.7 trillion by 2030. Given the prominent positions of both companies in this lucrative market, it is essential to explore which of these two is the more promising AI stock to invest in.

Nvidia's Leading Role in AI

Nvidia is a well-known name among technology investors, and its significant presence in the AI space is evident through various metrics:

  • Nvidia’s AI accelerators dominate the market, holding between 70% and 95% of the artificial intelligence chip segment.
  • The company reported a remarkable 93% increase in data center revenue, totaling $35.6 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, which concluded on January 26.
  • Projected spending on data centers is expected to reach around $2 trillion in the next five years.

These points illustrate Nvidia's considerable advantage as it continues to capitalize on the surge in AI technology. Its commanding market share in AI processors makes it difficult for competitors, like Advanced Micro Devices, to gain a foothold in the chip market.

Furthermore, leading tech corporations are projected to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in their data center infrastructure to keep pace with AI advancements. Companies like Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Microsoft are among those committing substantial sums this year to ensure their data centers are prepared for the demands of AI.

While some skeptics fear that recent innovations, such as those from DeepSeek that allow some smaller AI startups to train models using less powerful processors, could threaten Nvidia's dominance, it is crucial to realize that major tech firms cannot afford to slow down their investments due to increasing competition.

Ultimately, the growing reliance on AI infrastructure will likely keep Nvidia at the forefront, as it continues to develop new technologies like the Blackwell AI processor to meet demand. The company has reported that sales have surpassed expectations, reaching $11 billion in the last quarter.

In summary, Nvidia remains a key player in the ongoing AI boom, and expectations for its continued success seem optimistic.

IonQ: Pioneering Quantum Computing

While AI and quantum computing are distinct fields, they often intersect. For instance, IonQ’s quantum computing technology is utilized by major players like Microsoft and Amazon to provide AI researchers with access to advanced quantum models.

Here are several reasons some investors are currently showing enthusiasm for IonQ:

  • IonQ employs a unique method of trapping ions for quantum computing, distinguishing it from competitors.
  • The company experienced a 92% increase in fourth-quarter revenue, rising to $11.7 million.
  • According to McKinsey, the quantum computing sector could be valued at around $2 trillion by 2035.

IonQ claims that its quantum computers can create linear chains of ions capable of achieving over 100 qubits (the basic processing unit for quantum computers) with significantly fewer errors compared to other technologies.

The long-term promise of IonQ hinges on the belief that quantum computing could revolutionize various fields, including scientific research, drug development, and the creation of advanced AI models. Despite the optimistic forecasts, the consensus among experts is that practical applications for quantum computing are still years, if not decades, away.

Nvidia: The Superior AI Stock

IonQ may not be the strongest competitor in this comparison, as its growth outlook remains highly speculative, and its stock is currently considered overpriced. With a price-to-sales ratio of 167, IonQ’s valuation seems excessive, especially given its unprofitability, as it recorded a net loss of $202 million in the latest quarter.

Though quantum computing may evolve into a major technological trend, it remains uncertain how much IonQ will benefit from it and the timeline for such advancements. Meanwhile, IonQ's stock price is heavily reliant on achieving high expectations.

On the other hand, Nvidia offers investors a relatively reasonable valuation with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30 and profitability, having reported GAAP earnings per share of $0.89, which is an 82% increase from the previous year.

Therefore, considering all these factors, Nvidia emerges as a much more attractive AI stock investment at this moment.

AI, Stocks, Quantum