ETFs

Investors Suffer Major Losses in Nvidia-Linked ETF Amid Record Gains for Nvidia

Published October 21, 2024

Investors who placed their bets on the T-Rex 2X Inverse Nvidia Daily Target ETF (NVDQ) are facing substantial losses as shares of Nvidia Corp. led by Jensen Huang have soared over the past year. While Nvidia’s stock has surged approximately 221.08%, the T-Rex ETF has plummeted by a staggering 96%.

This dramatic difference in performance is largely due to the design of the T-Rex ETF. Unlike traditional ETFs, the T-Rex aims to achieve daily investment results that are two times the inverse of Nvidia’s daily performance. In simpler terms, this means that when Nvidia’s stock price goes up, the value of the T-Rex ETF falls, and vice versa.

This ETF utilizes derivatives—like options and futures—to position itself against Nvidia’s stock performance. Consequently, investors should understand that this ETF is not intended to track Nvidia’s stock over the long term but instead aims to deliver short-term returns based on daily fluctuations.

Despite the misfortune of T-Rex ETF investors, Nvidia continues to thrive as a leader in the semiconductor industry. Recent reports indicate that Nvidia shares closed at $138, marking a 0.8% increase and elevating its market capitalization to over $3 trillion. Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Nvidia’s future, with expectations that the company could ultimately reach a valuation of $4 trillion due to robust demand for GPU chips.

Prominent experts such as Ram Ahluwalia from Lumida Wealth Management believe that Nvidia has strong potential for growth, especially as investments in AI technology continue to rise. Similarly, Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management suggests that Nvidia’s revenue and stock price could double in the years ahead.

In addition, major investment banks like Goldman Sachs and Bofa Securities have raised their price targets for Nvidia, signaling heightened confidence in the company’s growth trajectory.

Understanding the Risks of Inverse ETFs

Investors considering inverse ETFs like T-Rex should be fully aware of the inherent risks associated with such investments. While these ETFs may offer short-term returns when the underlying asset declines, they can lead to considerable losses during upward price movements.

In the case of the T-Rex ETF, its structure causes it to depreciate significantly when Nvidia's stock rallies, which is precisely what has happened over the past year.

Nvidia's Market Position

Nvidia's stake in the chip market is not just driven by luck. Its technology and capabilities in AI and GPU units have positioned it as a frontrunner in various sectors. As businesses and developers increasingly look for powerful computing solutions, Nvidia remains at the forefront, driving demand and fostering investor confidence.

As Nvidia continues its upward trajectory, watching the performance of associated investment vehicles like the T-Rex ETF could offer valuable insights into market dynamics and investment strategies.

Investors, ETF, Nvidia